Investing Information

Effective Advice For A New Generation of Investors


CATCHING A FALLING KNIFE

One of the most common mistakes made by inexperienced investors is trying to "catch a falling knife". This is a habit, common among new investors, of buying stocks that are in "freefall", and it's a bad idea for an investment strategy. Unfortunately, it's common even among old and experienced investors. I have to admit that I've even made that mistake myself.

There are two primary approaches to investing: fundamental analysis, and technical analysis. At my firm, we generally fall into the fundamental camp, since we evaluate stocks based upon their valuations, rather than looking primarily at their short-term price movements. We take this direction because we believe this provides the greatest potential for long-term success.

Just looking at the fundamentals of an investment, however, can limit an investor's profits and lead to some unpleasant positions. This is because there are real limitations to buying a stock as it falls. You may purchase a stock that looks great at $10, only to see it fall to $5. If the stock rises again to $20, you may have been "right" to buy at $10, but maybe you weren't "right enough". Buying at $5 would have yielded a 300% return, while you settled for only 100%. Furthermore, if you thought that $10 was a reasonable price, you might have saved time by buying it on the way back up instead of on the way down.

Let's face it: buying a stock that is in mid-fall is not a pleasant experience, and it isn't difficult to come up with a variety of other strategies that will bring better results.

Still, we shouldn't avoid all stocks that have dropped. In fact, studies show that investors who buy stocks that have fallen hard, tend to outperform the market on a regular basis. In fact, this "bottom-fishing" strategy can provide one of the best performance levels of all, but missing out on these opportunities can be costly.

The decision then is not whether to buy "fallen angels", but when. This is where a bit of technical analysis skill comes in handy. Unless you're willing to buy any piece of junk that happens to have good price momentum, technical tools can't really tell you which stocks to buy. But they can lead us to a better understanding of timing. Once you select a good investment based on fundamentals, it is time to decide when to put the money down. A good first step: watch for a positive movement on good volume before committing. As long as the stock is dropping, there is a good chance you may get it at a better price. Better to wait a few days (or weeks) to assure your purchase is timed right. There's no advantage to buying before the time is right, even if the choice of stock is ideal. In this case, patience really is a virtue.

Remember: don't try to catch a falling knife - pick it up after it hits the floor!

R. Scott Pearson is an investment advisor, writer, editor, instructor, and business leader. As President and Chief Investment Officer of Value View Financial Corp., he offers investment management services to a wide variety of clients. His own newsletter, Investor's Value View, is distributed worldwide and provides general money tips and investment advice to readers both internationally, and in the U.S.

Prior to founding Value View, Scott edited the Pearson Investment Letter for eight years, and served as a Registered Investment Advisor for Pearson Capital Management. His newsletter articles and recommendations have been reprinted in other leading investment publications, including Investor's Intelligence, Bull and Bear and the Dick Davis Digest. In addition, he has written columns and articles of general interest for various newspapers, covering a wide range of topics from investments and IRAs to mortgages and credit issues.


MORE RESOURCES:

Sydney Morning Herald

Microsoft's Ballmer to CES: keep investing in tech despite ...
Scientific American - 17 hours ago
Las Vegas , NEV. -- In his first ever CES keynote, Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer yesterday acknowledged the tough economic times, but urged companies not to ...
Microsoft: the year ahead ComputerWeekly.com
Microsoft releases Windows Server 2008 R2 beta VNUNet.com
Windows 7 beta available worldwide on Friday AFP
TechNewsWorld - G4 TV
all 1,144 news articles


Wealth Bulletin

How to avoid a Madoff fund
San Francisco Chronicle,  USA - 8 hours ago
Feeder-funds (hedge funds or funds that do all their investing through another fund) and funds-of- funds sold investment services to individuals, ...
Uma Thurman No Help to Arpad Busson in Madoff Fraud’s Nightmare Bloomberg
The Financial Services Industry’s Free Lunch Asia Sentinel
Kingate considers joining class action on Madoff MarketWatch
FINalternatives - Advanced Trading
all 22 news articles


White Plains hedge funds sued in Madoff investment scandal
Lower Hudson Journal news, NY - 5 hours ago
The investors had placed their money in Family Management Corp., a Manhattan-based investment company, as well as the White Plains hedge funds. ...


Coalition pushes for expansion of angel-venture investment program
WTN News, WI - 6 hours ago
“The problem with this program is that we can't get enough of it,” said Teresa Esser, director of Silicon Pastures, a Milwaukee-based angel investment group ...
WisBusiness: Development groups collaborate on push for investment ... Wisbusiness.com
Businesses seek tax-credit boost Milwaukee Journal Sentinel
all 3 news articles


RBC Royal Bank appoints new president for direct investing
Insurance Business Review - 1 hour ago
By Staff Writer RBC Direct Investing is a discount broker and a wholly owned subsidiary of Royal Bank of Canada (RBC). Mr Storsley will be responsible for ...


Dividend.com

Billionaire investor places next supermarket bet
MarketWatch - 12 hours ago
Yucaipa's investment funds have been aggressive buyers of Whole Foods shares since Nov. 24, spending a net $98 million to amass the stake. ...
Activist shareholder buys 7 percent stake in Whole Foods Austin American-Statesman
Billionaire investor Burkle bets on Whole Foods MarketWatch
all 23 news articles


What you should know before hiring a financial adviser
Arizona Republic, AZ - 5 hours ago
Advisers also can manage investment portfolios and charitable giving and provide estate and tax planning. It's an investment in your financial future that ...


US investment in IT would create jobs, group says
ITworld.com, MA - Jan 7, 2009
by Grant Gross A US$30 billion investment by the US government in broadband, health IT and smart energy grids would create or retain nearly a million jobs, ...


Dividend.com

Investing
Sun-Sentinel.com, FL - 4 hours ago
US investors pulled a record $205.5 billion from stock mutual funds in 2008 as they fled the worst equity market in seven decades, research firm Morningstar ...
TD AMERITRADE to Acquire thinkorswim istockAnalyst.com (press release)
TD AMERITRADE Holding Corporation Acquisition of thinkorswim Call ... Seeking Alpha
all 185 news articles


Thomas, McNerney & Partners Promotes Three Members of Its ...
PR Newswire (press release), NY - 14 hours ago
Thomas, McNerney & Partners is a health care venture capital firm with approximately $600 million under management, focused on investing in life science and ...

Investing - Google News

home | index |site map
© 2006